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How many copies did The Red Strings Club sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 435k–708k
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before Steam's cut
from 14k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Red Strings Club and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Red Strings Club's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 203k–1.2M
best case 8.6M (Detroit: Become Human)
Games like The Red Strings Club

A typical game among these

≈ 203k–1.2M copies

≈ $1.8M–$5.5M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Detroit: Become Human at ≈ 6.6M–10.7M copies, ≈ $72.1M–$193.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 860 reviews in their first month; the range was 329 to 8k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (7 of 8) and Choices Matter (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Choices Matter + Story Rich, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Detroit: Become Human
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.6M–10.7M
33x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$72.1M–$193.9M after Steam's cut $131.1M–$298.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
264k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Choices MatterStory Rich
Haven
2020
Est. copies
≈ 152k–246k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
RomanceAction-Adventure
VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
4.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
39k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CyberpunkVisual Novel
DRAMAtical Murder
2021
Est. copies
≈ 124k–202k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$682k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
LGBTQ+Sexual Content
Yuppie Psycho: Executive Edition
2019
Est. copies
≈ 275k–447k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.3M before Steam's cut
$16.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzlePixel Graphics
Orwell: Keeping an Eye On You
2016
Est. copies
≈ 648k–1.1M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.4M before Steam's cut
$9.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterPolitical Sim
Dreamfall Chapters
2017
Est. copies
≈ 156k–254k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureStory Rich
Minds Beneath Us
2024
Est. copies
≈ 159k–259k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$876k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CinematicAtmospheric

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