How much revenue did Haven make?

$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Haven sell?

Q: How many copies did Haven sell?

152k to 246k copies, based on its 6k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 152k–246k; $1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before Steam's cut; from 6k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Haven and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Haven's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 36k–853k

best case 955k (Necesse)

Games like Haven

A typical game among these

≈ 36k–853k copies

≈ $298k–$6.3M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Open World (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Necesse at ≈ 727k–1.2M copies, ≈ $3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 692 reviews in their first month; the range was 172 to 22k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (3 of 8) and Story Rich (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Open World, priced around $15.
When they shipped: 4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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The Bridge Curse Road to Salvation 2022	Est. copies ≈ 94k–153k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $517k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $940k–$2.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	4k reviews Very Positive	HorrorFirst-Person
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Baldur's Gate II: Enhanced Edition 2013	Est. copies ≈ 693k–1.1M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.8M–$10.2M after Steam's cut $6.9M–$15.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	11k reviews Very Positive	RPGDungeons & Dragons
GreedFall 2019	Est. copies ≈ 636k–1.0M 3.4x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $6.1M–$16.4M after Steam's cut $11.1M–$25.3M before Steam's cut	$34.99	22k reviews Mostly Positive	RPGOpen World
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