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How many copies did IncrediMarble sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before Steam's cut
from 125 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid IncrediMarble and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including IncrediMarble's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 73k–292k
best case 1.9M (WorldBox - God Simulator)
Games like IncrediMarble

A typical game among these

≈ 73k–292k copies

≈ $218k–$615k after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: WorldBox - God Simulator at ≈ 1.4M–2.3M copies, ≈ $7.8M–$20.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 485 reviews in their first month; the range was 17 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Farming Sim (5 of 8) and Idler (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sandbox + God Game, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 66k–107k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
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$182k–$488k after Steam's cut $330k–$751k before Steam's cut
$9.99
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RelaxingSandbox
Plantera
2016
Est. copies
≈ 247k–401k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
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$203k–$545k after Steam's cut $369k–$839k before Steam's cut
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ClickerIdler
Luna's Fishing Garden
2021
Est. copies
≈ 55k–90k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
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2D PlatformerCollectathon
Farm Manager 2021
2021
Est. copies
≈ 59k–97k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$327k–$879k after Steam's cut $595k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
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FarmingManagement
WorldBox - God Simulator
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
22x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.8M–$20.9M after Steam's cut $14.1M–$32.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
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Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxGod Game
Tiny Pasture
2025
Est. copies
≈ 214k–348k
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$353k–$949k after Steam's cut $641k–$1.5M before Steam's cut
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IdlerFarming Sim
Plantera 2: Golden Acorn
2023
Est. copies
≈ 34k–56k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$47k–$126k after Steam's cut $86k–$195k before Steam's cut
$4.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Farming SimIdler
Beltmatic
2024
Est. copies
≈ 56k–91k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$108k–$290k after Steam's cut $196k–$447k before Steam's cut
$6.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
AutomationCasual

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