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How many copies did Vertical Slice: A Game Dev Story sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 8k–13k
$23k–$61k after Steam's cut $41k–$94k before Steam's cut
from 332 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Vertical Slice: A Game Dev Story and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Vertical Slice: A Game Dev Story's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.4M–2.1M
best case 40.7M (Wallpaper Engine)
Games like Vertical Slice: A Game Dev Story

A typical game among these

≈ 1.4M–2.1M copies

≈ $7.7M–$12.1M after Steam's cut

from ~45k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Wallpaper Engine at ≈ 31.0M–50.3M copies, ≈ $42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 64k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (5 of 8) and Anime (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with First-Person, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry First-Person + Mature + Utilities; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy 1M–2M
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49k reviews
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Life SimMultiple Endings
Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 31.0M–50.3M
23x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
MiSide
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Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.8M
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$14.6M–$39.2M after Steam's cut $26.5M–$60.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
143k reviews
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LoveChoice
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Est. copies
≈ 910k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$498k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $906k–$2.1M before Steam's cut
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37k reviews
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RomanceDating Sim
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Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
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ManagementDifficult
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≈ 1.0M–1.7M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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$19.99
41k reviews
Very Positive
RelaxingCute
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2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.4M–$17.1M after Steam's cut $11.6M–$26.3M before Steam's cut
$15.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
39k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CyberpunkVisual Novel

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.