How much revenue did The Pathless make?

$605k–$1.6M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Pathless sell?

Q: How many copies did The Pathless sell?

55k to 89k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 55k–89k; $605k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Pathless and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Pathless's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 21k–47k

best case 4.2M (Horizon Zero Dawn™ Complete Edition)

Games like The Pathless

A typical game among these

≈ 21k–47k copies

≈ $127k–$436k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Action RPG (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Horizon Zero Dawn™ Complete Edition at ≈ 3.2M–5.2M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 492 reviews in their first month; the range was 18 to 25k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Action RPG (3 of 8) and Fantasy (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + Female Protagonist. The breakout hits carry Female Protagonist + Story Rich + Post-apocalyptic; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Grimlord 2024	Est. copies ≈ 29k–46k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $236k–$634k after Steam's cut $429k–$975k before Steam's cut	$29.99	1k reviews Mostly Positive	VRSouls-like
The Black Grimoire: Cursebreaker 2024	Est. copies ≈ 24k–39k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $99k–$267k after Steam's cut $180k–$411k before Steam's cut	$14.99	971 reviews Very Positive	AdventureRPG
Kitaria Fables 2021	Est. copies ≈ 43k–70k 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $237k–$636k after Steam's cut $430k–$978k before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	Co-opAction RPG
Horizon Zero Dawn™ Complete Edition 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3.2M–5.2M 114x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	128k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAdventure
Robin Hood - Sherwood Builders 2024	Est. copies ≈ 28k–45k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $229k–$616k after Steam's cut $417k–$948k before Steam's cut	$29.99	1k reviews Mixed	ExplorationMedieval
Vengeful Rites 2021	Est. copies ≈ 7k–11k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $39k–$104k after Steam's cut $70k–$160k before Steam's cut	$19.99	283 reviews Very Positive	ActionAdventure
Northern Journey 2021	Est. copies ≈ 92k–150k 3.3x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $304k–$818k after Steam's cut $553k–$1.3M before Steam's cut	$11.99	4k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AtmosphericFPS
ScrewUp 2021	Est. copies ≈ 7k–12k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $20k–$53k after Steam's cut $36k–$82k before Steam's cut	$9.99	290 reviews Mixed	AdventureCasual