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How many copies did Mega Knockdown sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before Steam's cut
from 77 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mega Knockdown and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mega Knockdown's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 76k–107k
best case 18.7M (Brawlhalla)
Games like Mega Knockdown

A typical game among these

≈ 76k–107k copies

≈ $614k–$929k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Brawlhalla at ≈ 14.2M–23.1M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 2D Fighter (7 of 8) and Fighting (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Fighting, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Spiritfall
2024
Est. copies
≈ 50k–81k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$273k–$734k after Steam's cut $496k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Action Roguelike2D Fighter
Brawlhalla
2017
Est. copies
≈ 14.2M–23.1M
166x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
413k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayMultiplayer
Street Fighter V
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
18x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.1M–$27.2M after Steam's cut $18.4M–$41.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
44k reviews
Mixed
FightingAction
Rivals of Aether
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
15x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$29.2M after Steam's cut $19.7M–$44.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
38k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Fighting2D Fighter
Slap City
2020
Est. copies
≈ 71k–116k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$393k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $714k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
IndieAction
Fantasy Strike
2019
Est. copies
≈ 61k–99k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Mixed
Free to Play2D Fighter
KurtzPel
2019
Est. copies
≈ 978k–1.6M
14x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
34k reviews
Mixed
AnimeFree to Play
Them's Fightin' Herds
2020
Est. copies
≈ 112k–182k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$614k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
2D FighterAction

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