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How many copies did BUSTAFELLOWS sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 26k–42k
$284k–$764k after Steam's cut $517k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid BUSTAFELLOWS and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including BUSTAFELLOWS's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 43k–212k
best case 557k (Hatoful Boyfriend)
Games like BUSTAFELLOWS

A typical game among these

≈ 43k–212k copies

≈ $428k–$961k after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Hatoful Boyfriend at ≈ 425k–690k copies, ≈ $1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Female Protagonist (8 of 8) and Otome (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Dating Sim, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Cinderella Phenomenon - Otome/Visual Novel
2017
Est. copies
≈ 143k–232k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Free to PlayOtome
Hatoful Boyfriend
2014
Est. copies
≈ 425k–690k
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelDating Sim
Nightshade/百花百狼
2017
Est. copies
≈ 28k–45k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$265k–$714k after Steam's cut $483k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$34.99
802 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
OtomeFemale Protagonist
Amnesia™: Memories
2015
Est. copies
≈ 219k–356k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$601k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$9.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
OtomeVisual Novel
Hakuoki: Kyoto Winds
2017
Est. copies
≈ 80k–131k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$221k–$594k after Steam's cut $401k–$913k before Steam's cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
OtomeVisual Novel
My Vow to My Liege
2020
Est. copies
≈ 102k–165k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$280k–$752k after Steam's cut $509k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Female ProtagonistRomance
Tailor Tales
2019
Est. copies
≈ 29k–48k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayOtome
Hakuoki: Edo Blossoms
2018
Est. copies
≈ 34k–55k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$93k–$251k after Steam's cut $169k–$386k before Steam's cut
$9.99
1k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
OtomeVisual Novel

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.