How much revenue did CyberWaifu make?

$4k–$10k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did CyberWaifu sell?

Q: How many copies did CyberWaifu sell?

3k to 5k copies, based on its 136 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 3k–5k; $4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$15k before Steam's cut; from 136 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid CyberWaifu and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including CyberWaifu's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–16k

best case 2.1M (VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action)

Games like CyberWaifu

A typical game among these

≈ 3k–16k copies

≈ $6k–$19k after Steam's cut

from ~209 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action at ≈ 1.6M–2.6M copies, ≈ $6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 130 reviews in their first month; the range was 5 to 291.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Simulation (5 of 8) and Sexual Content (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Cyberpunk + Visual Novel, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Pixel Graphics + Story Rich + Female Protagonist; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M 186x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	39k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	CyberpunkVisual Novel
Cyber Crush 2069 2020	Est. copies ≈ 19k–31k 3.7x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $11k–$28k after Steam's cut $19k–$44k before Steam's cut	$1.99	778 reviews Mostly Positive	CasualSimulation
Erophone:Re 2023	Est. copies ≈ 6k–9k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue Free	Free	223 reviews Mixed	Interactive FictionSports
Song of Farca: Prologue 2021	Est. copies ≈ 5k–8k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue Free	Free	209 reviews Very Positive	SimulationDetective
Girl Mod \| GIRLS VR (create + pose in VR) 2018	Est. copies ≈ 882–1k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $4k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before Steam's cut	$17.99	29 reviews Mixed	NuditySexual Content
Kick the VIRUS 2020	Est. copies ≈ 446–725 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $122–$326 after Steam's cut $221–$502 before Steam's cut	$0.99	18 reviews Positive	CasualIndie
Night City 2177 2019	Est. copies ≈ 3k–5k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut	$3.99	104 reviews Mostly Negative	Sexual ContentNudity
Synergia 2020	Est. copies ≈ 20k–33k 3.9x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $67k–$181k after Steam's cut $123k–$279k before Steam's cut	$11.99	824 reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelCyberpunk