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How many copies did Caravaneer 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 14k–22k
$22k–$60k after Steam's cut $41k–$93k before Steam's cut
from 548 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Caravaneer 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Caravaneer 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 519k–1.9M
best case 3.3M (Supermarket Together)
Games like Caravaneer 2

A typical game among these

≈ 519k–1.9M copies

≈ $5.5M–$17.0M after Steam's cut

from ~22k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Supermarket Together at ≈ 2.5M–4.0M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 32k reviews in their first month; the range was 5k to 69k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Economy (8 of 8) and Simulation (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Management.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2026, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Mad Games Tycoon 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 195k–316k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before Steam's cut
$24.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
ManagementEconomy
TCG Card Shop Simulator
2026
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.0M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.9M–$18.6M after Steam's cut $12.6M–$28.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
51k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Supermarket Together
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.0M
4.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
100k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationOnline Co-Op
X4: Foundations
2018
Est. copies
≈ 920k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.7M–$34.0M after Steam's cut $23.0M–$52.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
30k reviews
Mostly Positive
Space SimSimulation
Supermarket Simulator
2025
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.4M
3.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$11.5M–$30.9M after Steam's cut $20.9M–$47.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
84k reviews
Very Positive
Railway Empire
2018
Est. copies
≈ 296k–480k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
StrategySimulation
Anno 2070™
2011
Est. copies
≈ 804k–1.3M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.4M–$11.9M after Steam's cut $8.0M–$18.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
13k reviews
Mixed
StrategyCity Builder
Eco
2018
Est. copies
≈ 428k–696k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.5M–$9.5M after Steam's cut $6.4M–$14.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessSimulation

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