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How many copies did Mad Games Tycoon 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 195k–316k
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before Steam's cut
from 8k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mad Games Tycoon 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mad Games Tycoon 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 877k–1.5M
best case 40.7M (Wallpaper Engine)
Games like Mad Games Tycoon 2

A typical game among these

≈ 877k–1.5M copies

≈ $5.8M–$11.4M after Steam's cut

from ~27k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Design & Illustration (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Wallpaper Engine at ≈ 31.0M–50.3M copies, ≈ $42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 11k reviews in their first month.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Design & Illustration (4 of 8) and Game Development (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mature + Utilities, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry Mature + NSFW + Anime; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 31.0M–50.3M
38x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
Crosshair X
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.9M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
46k reviews
Very Positive
ActionIndie
Blender
2015
Est. copies
≈ 4.5M–7.3M
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
92k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Animation & ModelingSoftware
The Stanley Parable: Ultra Deluxe
2022
Est. copies
≈ 898k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.2M–$16.6M after Steam's cut $11.2M–$25.5M before Steam's cut
$24.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
Multiple EndingsComedy
Aseprite
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.2M–$16.6M after Steam's cut $11.2M–$25.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
27k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsDesign & Illustration
The Beginner's Guide
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
24k reviews
Very Positive
Need for Speed™ Hot Pursuit Remastered
2020
Est. copies
≈ 376k–610k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.3M after Steam's cut $5.6M–$12.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
RacingDriving
RPG Maker MV
2015
Est. copies
≈ 437k–711k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$9.6M–$25.9M after Steam's cut $17.5M–$39.8M before Steam's cut
$79.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
RPGRPGMaker

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