How much revenue did The Stanley Parable: Ultra Deluxe make?

$6.2M–$16.6M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Stanley Parable: Ultra Deluxe sell?

Q: How many copies did The Stanley Parable: Ultra Deluxe sell?

898k to 1.5M copies, based on its 36k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 898k–1.5M; $6.2M–$16.6M after Steam's cut $11.2M–$25.5M before Steam's cut; from 36k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Stanley Parable: Ultra Deluxe and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Stanley Parable: Ultra Deluxe's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.2M–2.9M

best case 22.0M (Undertale)

Games like The Stanley Parable: Ultra Deluxe

A typical game among these

≈ 1.2M–2.9M copies

≈ $7.8M–$17.0M after Steam's cut

from ~46k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Choices Matter (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Undertale at ≈ 16.8M–27.2M copies, ≈ $46.0M–$123.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 27k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Choices Matter (4 of 8) and First-Person (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Story Rich + Choices Matter, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Pixel Graphics + RPG + Great Soundtrack; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Everlasting Summer 2014	Est. copies ≈ 4.4M–7.1M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	78k reviews Very Positive	Visual Novel Story Rich
Love Is All Around 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	46k reviews Very Positive	Dating SimSexual Content
Senren＊Banka 2020	Est. copies ≈ 923k–1.5M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $8.9M–$23.9M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.7M before Steam's cut	$34.99	37k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelNSFW
The Henry Stickmin Collection 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.1M–$16.4M after Steam's cut $11.1M–$25.3M before Steam's cut	$14.99	60k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FunnyMultiple Endings
Undertale 2015	Est. copies ≈ 16.8M–27.2M 7.5x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $46.0M–$123.8M after Steam's cut $83.7M–$190.4M before Steam's cut	$9.99	343k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Great SoundtrackStory Rich
Tropico 6 2019	Est. copies ≈ 851k–1.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $9.4M–$25.2M after Steam's cut $17.0M–$38.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	30k reviews Very Positive	City BuilderStrategy
The Stanley Parable 2013	Est. copies ≈ 2.9M–4.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $11.9M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	46k reviews Very Positive	ComedyNarration
Road 96 🛣️ 2021	Est. copies ≈ 653k–1.1M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.6M–$9.6M after Steam's cut $6.5M–$14.8M before Steam's cut	$19.96	26k reviews Very Positive	First-PersonColorful