How much revenue did The Beginner's Guide make?

$3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Beginner's Guide sell?

Q: How many copies did The Beginner's Guide sell?

1.2M to 1.9M copies, based on its 24k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1.2M–1.9M; $3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.1M before Steam's cut; from 24k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Beginner's Guide and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Beginner's Guide's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 921k–2.2M

best case 2.4M (What Remains of Edith Finch)

Games like The Beginner's Guide

A typical game among these

≈ 921k–2.2M copies

≈ $8.3M–$15.5M after Steam's cut

from ~24k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: What Remains of Edith Finch at ≈ 1.8M–3.0M copies, ≈ $10.1M–$27.2M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share First-Person (7 of 8) and Walking Simulator (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Story Rich + Walking Simulator, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Dr. Langeskov, The Tiger, and The Terribly Cursed Emerald: A Whirlwind Heist 2015	Est. copies ≈ 497k–808k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	10k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayComedy
A Story About My Uncle 2014	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.7M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $6.8M–$18.2M after Steam's cut $12.3M–$27.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	29k reviews Very Positive	AdventureFirst-Person
Gone Home 2013	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–1.9M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.8M–$12.9M after Steam's cut $8.7M–$19.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	18k reviews Mostly Positive	Walking SimulatorShort
The Stanley Parable 2013	Est. copies ≈ 2.9M–4.7M 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $11.9M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	46k reviews Very Positive	ComedyNarration
The Stanley Parable: Ultra Deluxe 2022	Est. copies ≈ 898k–1.5M 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.2M–$16.6M after Steam's cut $11.2M–$25.5M before Steam's cut	$24.99	36k reviews Very Positive	Multiple EndingsComedy
What Remains of Edith Finch 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–3.0M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $10.1M–$27.2M after Steam's cut $18.4M–$41.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	53k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story RichAtmospheric
Call of Cthulhu® 2018	Est. copies ≈ 424k–690k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.3M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	14k reviews Mostly Positive	LovecraftianHorror
Amnesia: A Machine for Pigs 2013	Est. copies ≈ 770k–1.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	12k reviews Mixed	Horror Walking Simulator