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How many copies did Combat Mission Black Sea sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 14k–23k
$235k–$633k after Steam's cut $428k–$973k before Steam's cut
from 575 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Combat Mission Black Sea and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Combat Mission Black Sea's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 155k–444k
best case 530k (ROMANCE OF THE THREE KINGDOMS XIV)
Games like Combat Mission Black Sea

A typical game among these

≈ 155k–444k copies

≈ $1.8M–$8.9M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: ROMANCE OF THE THREE KINGDOMS XIV at ≈ 404k–656k copies, ≈ $6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 9k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Wargame (8 of 8) and Military (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Tactics + Wargame, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Romance of the Three Kingdoms XIII
2016
Est. copies
≈ 317k–516k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$5.2M–$14.1M after Steam's cut $9.5M–$21.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
8k reviews
Mixed
WARNO
2024
Est. copies
≈ 401k–651k
4.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.4M–$11.8M after Steam's cut $8.0M–$18.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
16k reviews
Mostly Positive
WargameMilitary
Twilight Struggle
2016
Est. copies
≈ 124k–202k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$342k–$919k after Steam's cut $622k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$9.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Board GameStrategy
Romance of the Three Kingdoms XI with Power Up Kit
2018
Est. copies
≈ 125k–204k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Unity of Command II
2019
Est. copies
≈ 64k–104k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$526k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $957k–$2.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyWorld War II
Order of Battle: World War II
2015
Est. copies
≈ 155k–252k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyFree to Play
ROMANCE OF THE THREE KINGDOMS 8 REMAKE
2024
Est. copies
≈ 98k–159k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.7M before Steam's cut
$59.99
4k reviews
Mixed
ROMANCE OF THE THREE KINGDOMS XIV
2020
Est. copies
≈ 404k–656k
4.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
16k reviews
Mixed

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