How much revenue did WARNO make?

$4.4M–$11.8M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did WARNO sell?

Q: How many copies did WARNO sell?

401k to 651k copies, based on its 16k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 401k–651k; $4.4M–$11.8M after Steam's cut $8.0M–$18.2M before Steam's cut; from 16k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid WARNO and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including WARNO's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 33k–715k

best case 7.9M (Squad)

Games like WARNO

A typical game among these

≈ 33k–715k copies

≈ $354k–$3.8M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Squad at ≈ 6.0M–9.8M copies, ≈ $66.5M–$178.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 555 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 57k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Military (8 of 8) and Real Time Tactics (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Military + Realistic, priced around $40.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Wargame: Airland Battle 2013	Est. copies ≈ 282k–458k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.5M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	4k reviews Very Positive	StrategyRTS
Syrian Warfare 2017	Est. copies ≈ 193k–313k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $741k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.1M before Steam's cut	$13.99	6k reviews Very Positive	Real Time TacticsRTS
Squad 2020	Est. copies ≈ 6.0M–9.8M 50x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $66.5M–$178.7M after Steam's cut $120.8M–$274.9M before Steam's cut	$39.99	244k reviews Very Positive	MilitaryRealistic
Total Conflict: Resistance 2023	Est. copies ≈ 133k–216k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	5k reviews Mostly Positive	Early AccessFPS
Stronghold Crusader HD (2012) 2013	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.2M 4.3x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.2M before Steam's cut	$9.99	21k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MilitaryCity Builder
Destroyer: The U-Boat Hunter 2023	Est. copies ≈ 31k–50k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $252k–$677k after Steam's cut $458k–$1.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	1k reviews Mostly Positive	SimulationNaval Combat
MechDefender - Tower Defense 2020	Est. copies ≈ 9k–15k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $13k–$34k after Steam's cut $23k–$52k before Steam's cut	$4.99	371 reviews Mostly Positive	Trading Card GameTurn-Based Tactics
Armor Clash 2022 [RTS] 2022	Est. copies ≈ 893–1k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $2k–$7k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut	$9.99	36 reviews Mixed	Action RTSWargame