How much revenue did Wargame: Airland Battle make?

$1.5M–$4.2M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Wargame: Airland Battle sell?

Q: How many copies did Wargame: Airland Battle sell?

282k to 458k copies, based on its 4k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 282k–458k; $1.5M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.4M before Steam's cut; from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Wargame: Airland Battle and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Wargame: Airland Battle's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.5M–10.1M

best case 19.8M (Hearts of Iron IV)

Games like Wargame: Airland Battle

A typical game among these

≈ 3.5M–10.1M copies

≈ $47.3M–$140.1M after Steam's cut

from ~94k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Hearts of Iron IV at ≈ 15.1M–24.6M copies, ≈ $207.7M–$558.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Historical (6 of 8) and Military (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with World War II + Grand Strategy, priced around $50. The breakout hits carry Alternate History + World War II; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2011 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Stellaris 2016	Est. copies ≈ 8.2M–13.3M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $112.6M–$302.6M after Steam's cut $204.7M–$465.6M before Steam's cut	$49.99	197k reviews Very Positive	SpaceGrand Strategy
Total War: THREE KINGDOMS 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.4M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $29.7M–$79.9M after Steam's cut $54.0M–$123.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	94k reviews Very Positive	StrategyHistorical
Hearts of Iron IV 2016	Est. copies ≈ 15.1M–24.6M 3.9x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $207.7M–$558.4M after Steam's cut $377.6M–$859.1M before Steam's cut	$49.99	363k reviews Very Positive	StrategyWorld War II
Men of War: Assault Squad 2 2014	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $21.6M–$58.0M after Steam's cut $39.3M–$89.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	47k reviews Very Positive	StrategyWorld War II
Age of Empires III: Definitive Edition 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $13.1M–$35.3M after Steam's cut $23.9M–$54.4M before Steam's cut	$34.99	55k reviews Very Positive	StrategyBase-Building
Europa Universalis IV 2013	Est. copies ≈ 8.5M–13.8M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $116.6M–$313.5M after Steam's cut $212.0M–$482.3M before Steam's cut	$49.99	134k reviews Very Positive	Grand StrategyStrategy
Company of Heroes 2 2013	Est. copies ≈ 7.2M–11.6M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $39.4M–$105.8M after Steam's cut $71.6M–$162.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	113k reviews Mostly Positive	StrategyWorld War II
Total War: SHOGUN 2 2011	Est. copies ≈ 4.3M–7.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $35.4M–$95.2M after Steam's cut $64.4M–$146.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	68k reviews Very Positive	StrategyHistorical