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How many copies did Muslim 3D sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 694–1k
$9k–$23k after Steam's cut $16k–$36k before Steam's cut
from 28 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Muslim 3D and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Muslim 3D's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 977–2k
best case 11k (Solar System VR)
Games like Muslim 3D

A typical game among these

≈ 977–2k copies

≈ $5k–$16k after Steam's cut

from ~47 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Solar System VR at ≈ 8k–13k copies, ≈ $9k–$24k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 16 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 25.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Exploration (8 of 8) and Education (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + VR, priced around $4. The breakout hits carry VR + 360 Video + Singleplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

OVERVIEW (A Walk Through The Universe)
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$10k–$28k after Steam's cut $19k–$42k before Steam's cut
$9.99
123 reviews
Mostly Positive
EducationCasual
Dead Herring VR
2021
Est. copies
≈ 546–887
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
22 reviews
Positive
AdventureVisual Novel
Brick Building
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
56 reviews
Mixed
EducationInvestigation
VEREDA - Mystery Escape Room Adventure
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
$7.99
47 reviews
Mixed
AdventureEscape Room
Solar System VR
2020
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
7.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$9k–$24k after Steam's cut $16k–$37k before Steam's cut
$3.99
329 reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureSimulation
夜詛YASO curse of soirée
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$8k–$22k after Steam's cut $15k–$33k before Steam's cut
$18.99
62 reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureEducation
Virtual Journey Into the Metaverse
2021
Est. copies
≈ 794–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
$9.99
32 reviews
Positive
Early AccessAdventure
Adventure's Calling
2023
Est. copies
≈ 694–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
28 reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualAdventure

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