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How many copies did 夜詛YASO curse of soirée sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k
$8k–$22k after Steam's cut $15k–$33k before Steam's cut
from 62 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid 夜詛YASO curse of soirée and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 夜詛YASO curse of soirée's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–14k
best case 43k (Hyperbolica)
Games like 夜詛YASO curse of soirée

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–14k copies

≈ $4k–$84k after Steam's cut

from ~101 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Hyperbolica at ≈ 33k–53k copies, ≈ $117k–$315k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 8 reviews in their first month; the range was 4 to 616.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Exploration (7 of 8) and Education (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Surreal + Exploration, priced around $13.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Hyperbolica
2022
Est. copies
≈ 33k–53k
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$117k–$315k after Steam's cut $213k–$485k before Steam's cut
$12.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
SurrealExploration
HyperRogue
2015
Est. copies
≈ 24k–39k
4.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$67k–$179k after Steam's cut $121k–$276k before Steam's cut
$9.99
497 reviews
Very Positive
Traditional RoguelikePsychedelic
Gamitate - Meditate, Relax, Feel Better
2021
Est. copies
≈ 223–363
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$490–$1k after Steam's cut $891–$2k before Steam's cut
$7.99
9 reviews
9 user reviews
CasualExperimental
The OmniGallery
2021
Est. copies
≈ 694–1k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
28 reviews
Positive
VRExploration
Tandis
2022
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$25k–$67k after Steam's cut $45k–$102k before Steam's cut
$14.99
242 reviews
Very Positive
CasualIndie
Surrealidade - Definitive Edition
2022
Est. copies
≈ 868–1k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$8k before Steam's cut
$7.99
35 reviews
Positive
AdventureCasual
CUCCCHI
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$7k–$19k after Steam's cut $13k–$29k before Steam's cut
$7.99
128 reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationAbstract
Orders of Magnitude
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$10k before Steam's cut
$4.99
74 reviews
Very Positive
IndieSimulation

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