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How many copies did Welcome to ParadiZe sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 35k–57k
$287k–$772k after Steam's cut $522k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Welcome to ParadiZe and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Welcome to ParadiZe's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7.8M–29.1M
best case 88.0M (Left 4 Dead 2)
Games like Welcome to ParadiZe

A typical game among these

≈ 7.8M–29.1M copies

≈ $181.3M–$356.5M after Steam's cut

from ~436k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Left 4 Dead 2 at ≈ 67.0M–108.9M copies, ≈ $184.1M–$495.0M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Zombies (7 of 8) and Open World (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Zombies + Co-op, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Project Zomboid
2013
Est. copies
≈ 30.5M–49.6M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$209.9M–$564.4M after Steam's cut $381.6M–$868.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
483k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalZombies
Left 4 Dead 2
2009
Est. copies
≈ 67.0M–108.9M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$184.1M–$495.0M after Steam's cut $334.7M–$761.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
1.1M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesCo-op
Unturned
2017
Est. copies
≈ 19.4M–31.6M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
565k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlaySurvival
DayZ
2018
Est. copies
≈ 14.3M–23.2M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$196.4M–$527.9M after Steam's cut $357.0M–$812.2M before Steam's cut
$49.99
470k reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalOpen World
Killing Floor 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 5.4M–8.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$44.4M–$119.4M after Steam's cut $80.8M–$183.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
129k reviews
Very Positive
ZombiesMultiplayer
Z1 Battle Royale
2018
Est. copies
≈ 6.2M–10.0M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
202k reviews
Mixed
SurvivalMassively Multiplayer
Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition
2022
Est. copies
≈ 5.5M–8.9M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$90.1M–$242.1M after Steam's cut $163.7M–$372.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
220k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldCo-op
7 Days to Die
2024
Est. copies
≈ 9.9M–16.2M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$123.1M–$331.0M after Steam's cut $223.8M–$509.2M before Steam's cut
$44.99
401k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalZombies

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.