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How many copies did Chess Brain: Dark Troops sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
from 64 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Chess Brain: Dark Troops and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Chess Brain: Dark Troops's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 8k–24k
best case 293k (5D Chess With Multiverse Time Travel)
Games like Chess Brain: Dark Troops

A typical game among these

≈ 8k–24k copies

≈ $9k–$70k after Steam's cut

from ~404 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: 5D Chess With Multiverse Time Travel at ≈ 223k–362k copies, ≈ $735k–$2.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 78 reviews in their first month; the range was 21 to 835.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Board Game (7 of 8) and Chess (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Chess + Time Travel, priced around $12. The breakout hits carry Time Travel + Time Manipulation + Multiplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Miracle Sudoku
2020
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before Steam's cut
$4.99
178 reviews
Very Positive
CasualPuzzle
Chessformer
2022
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$11k–$30k after Steam's cut $20k–$45k before Steam's cut
$4.99
323 reviews
Very Positive
ChessPuzzle
King of the Bridge
2024
Est. copies
≈ 44k–71k
4.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$36k–$97k after Steam's cut $66k–$150k before Steam's cut
$2.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleStrategy
Unlock The King
2019
Est. copies
≈ 12k–19k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut
$0.99
404 reviews
Very Positive
FuturisticSokoban
Chess Brain
2020
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$0.99
164 reviews
Very Positive
SokobanChess
5D Chess With Multiverse Time Travel
2020
Est. copies
≈ 223k–362k
22x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$735k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$11.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ChessTime Travel
Pawnbarian
2021
Est. copies
≈ 22k–36k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$62k–$165k after Steam's cut $112k–$254k before Steam's cut
$9.99
903 reviews
Very Positive
Rogue-likeTurn-Based Combat
The Ouroboros King
2023
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$39k–$106k after Steam's cut $72k–$163k before Steam's cut
$9.99
578 reviews
Mostly Positive

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