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How many copies did Pawnbarian sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 22k–36k
$62k–$165k after Steam's cut $112k–$254k before Steam's cut
from 903 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Pawnbarian and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Pawnbarian's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 505–3k
best case 8.9M (Darkest Dungeon®)
Games like Pawnbarian

A typical game among these

≈ 505–3k copies

≈ $1k–$8k after Steam's cut

from ~49 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Darkest Dungeon® at ≈ 6.8M–11.0M copies, ≈ $46.5M–$125.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 19 reviews in their first month; the range was 4 to 80.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rogue-like (6 of 8) and Chess (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Combat + Dark Fantasy, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Dark Fantasy + RPG + Lovecraftian; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Darkest Dungeon®
2016
Est. copies
≈ 6.8M–11.0M
3322x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.5M–$125.1M after Steam's cut $84.6M–$192.5M before Steam's cut
$24.99
163k reviews
Very Positive
Turn-Based CombatDark Fantasy
Boat Train
2022
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$41–$109 after Steam's cut $74–$168 before Steam's cut
$0.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
StrategyRogue-like
Chess Survivors
2023
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$15k after Steam's cut $10k–$23k before Steam's cut
$4.99
163 reviews
Very Positive
Petrified Pawns
2025
Est. copies
≈ 546–887
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$899–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$5.99
22 reviews
Positive
Dice Assassin
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
$2.99
103 reviews
Mostly Positive
Rogue-likeCard Battler
WizardChess
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$10k–$26k after Steam's cut $17k–$40k before Steam's cut
$14.99
94 reviews
Mostly Positive
Pixel GraphicsBoard Game
Grandmaster's Revenge
2023
Est. copies
≈ 223–363
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$490–$1k after Steam's cut $891–$2k before Steam's cut
$7.99
9 reviews
9 user reviews
Usurper
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut
$9.99
49 reviews
Mostly Positive

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