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How many copies did Petrified Pawns sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 546–887
$899–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
from 22 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Petrified Pawns and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Petrified Pawns's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 248k–511k
best case 881k (Darkest Dungeon® II)
Games like Petrified Pawns

A typical game among these

≈ 248k–511k copies

≈ $1.0M–$6.0M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Darkest Dungeon® II at ≈ 671k–1.1M copies, ≈ $7.4M–$19.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 8k reviews in their first month.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Turn-Based Tactics (5 of 8) and Chess (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Tactics + Dungeon Crawler, priced around $40.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Chess Dungeons: Shubousha
2023
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$340–$918 after Steam's cut $619–$1k before Steam's cut
$9.99
5 reviews
5 user reviews
ChessCasual
Battle for the Board
2023
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$244–$660 after Steam's cut $444–$1k before Steam's cut
$11.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
ExplorationAdventure
Warhammer 40,000: Mechanicus
2018
Est. copies
≈ 445k–723k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
Warhammer 40KStrategy
Darkest Dungeon® II
2023
Est. copies
≈ 671k–1.1M
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.4M–$19.9M after Steam's cut $13.4M–$30.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
27k reviews
Mostly Positive
The Dungeon Of Naheulbeuk: The Amulet Of Chaos
2020
Est. copies
≈ 201k–326k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.2M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$8.0M before Steam's cut
$34.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
Pawnbarian
2021
Est. copies
≈ 22k–36k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$62k–$165k after Steam's cut $112k–$254k before Steam's cut
$9.99
903 reviews
Very Positive
Rogue-likeTurn-Based Combat
Shotgun King: The Final Checkmate
2022
Est. copies
≈ 185k–300k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$508k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $923k–$2.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
ChessTurn-Based Strategy
5D Chess With Multiverse Time Travel
2020
Est. copies
≈ 223k–362k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$735k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$11.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ChessTime Travel

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