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How many copies did Chess Dungeons: Shubousha sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 124–202
$340–$918 after Steam's cut $619–$1k before Steam's cut
from 5 reviews (5 user reviews)
Only 5 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Chess Dungeons: Shubousha and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Chess Dungeons: Shubousha's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 11k–15k
best case 3.4M (Dota Underlords)
Games like Chess Dungeons: Shubousha

A typical game among these

≈ 11k–15k copies

≈ $28k–$59k after Steam's cut

from ~280 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Dota Underlords at ≈ 2.6M–4.3M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 130 reviews in their first month; the range was 105 to 297.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Chess (7 of 8) and Board Game (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Auto Battler + Tactical, priced around $12.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Dota Underlords
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.3M
325x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
91k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayStrategy
GLADIABOTS - AI Combat Arena
2019
Est. copies
≈ 26k–43k
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$109k–$293k after Steam's cut $198k–$450k before Steam's cut
$14.99
917 reviews
Very Positive
StrategyArtificial Intelligence
Khet 2.0
2014
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$25k–$68k after Steam's cut $46k–$105k before Steam's cut
$9.99
165 reviews
Very Positive
Asynchronous MultiplayerBoard Game
Heroes Showdown
2020
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
332 reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyFree to Play
Dark Chess
2023
Est. copies
≈ 5k–9k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$19k–$51k after Steam's cut $34k–$78k before Steam's cut
$12.99
213 reviews
Mostly Positive
ChessStrategy
Pawnbarian
2021
Est. copies
≈ 22k–36k
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$62k–$165k after Steam's cut $112k–$254k before Steam's cut
$9.99
903 reviews
Very Positive
Rogue-likeTurn-Based Combat
Unlock The King
2019
Est. copies
≈ 12k–19k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut
$0.99
404 reviews
Very Positive
FuturisticSokoban
Pure Chess Grandmaster Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 12k–19k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$51k–$138k after Steam's cut $93k–$212k before Steam's cut
$15.99
280 reviews
Mostly Positive
ChessStrategy

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