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How many copies did Dark Chess sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–9k
$19k–$51k after Steam's cut $34k–$78k before Steam's cut
from 213 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dark Chess and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dark Chess's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 113k–238k
best case 1.4M (FPS Chess)
Games like Dark Chess

A typical game among these

≈ 113k–238k copies

≈ $834k–$1.5M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: FPS Chess at ≈ 1.1M–1.8M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 977 reviews in their first month; the range was 835 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Chess (5 of 8) and Board Game (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Shooter. The breakout hits carry FPS + PvP + Shooter; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Chess Ultra
2017
Est. copies
≈ 80k–130k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$285k–$766k after Steam's cut $518k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$12.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyChess
FPS Chess
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
17x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
44k reviews
Very Positive
FPSPvP
Prismata
2018
Est. copies
≈ 37k–60k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessStrategy
Shotgun King: The Final Checkmate
2022
Est. copies
≈ 185k–300k
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$508k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $923k–$2.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
ChessTurn-Based Strategy
5D Chess With Multiverse Time Travel
2020
Est. copies
≈ 223k–362k
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$735k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$11.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ChessTime Travel
Simply Chess
2015
Est. copies
≈ 178k–289k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Mostly Positive
ChessBoard Game
Frozen Synapse
2011
Est. copies
≈ 165k–269k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyTurn-Based
Warhammer 40,000: Regicide
2015
Est. copies
≈ 93k–151k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
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2k reviews
Mixed
Warhammer 40KStrategy

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.