How much revenue did Frozen Synapse make?

$1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Frozen Synapse sell?

Q: How many copies did Frozen Synapse sell?

165k to 269k copies, based on its 3k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 165k–269k; $1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.7M before the cut; from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Frozen Synapse out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Frozen Synapse's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.0M–18.3M

best case 27.2M (The Forest)

Games like Frozen Synapse

The middle of these games

≈ 5.0M–18.3M copies

≈ $69.7M–$206.2M after Steam's cut

from ~115k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.7M–33.6M copies, ≈ $113.8M–$305.9M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Turn-Based Strategy (5 of 8) and Grand Strategy (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $20.
The era: The games you compared span 2010 to 2019, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The Forest 2018	Est. copies ≈ 20.7M–33.6M 5.9x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $113.8M–$305.9M after Steam's cut $206.9M–$470.7M before the cut	$19.99	681k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Dota Underlords 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.3M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	91k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayStrategy
Total War: WARHAMMER II 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4.2M–6.8M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $68.9M–$185.3M after Steam's cut $125.3M–$285.1M before the cut	$59.99	121k reviews Very Positive	StrategyFantasy
XCOM® 2 2016	Est. copies ≈ 4.6M–7.4M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $25.0M–$67.3M after Steam's cut $45.5M–$103.5M before the cut	$19.99	109k reviews Very Positive	IsometricTurn-Based Combat
Sid Meier's Civilization® V 2010	Est. copies ≈ 13.3M–21.6M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $109.8M–$295.3M after Steam's cut $199.7M–$454.2M before the cut	$29.99	211k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Turn-Based StrategyStrategy
Sid Meier’s Civilization® VI 2016	Est. copies ≈ 15.8M–25.6M 3.3x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $259.9M–$698.7M after Steam's cut $472.5M–$1074.9M before the cut	$59.99	379k reviews Very Positive	StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Total War: ROME II - Emperor Edition 2013	Est. copies ≈ 5.6M–9.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $46.0M–$123.6M after Steam's cut $83.6M–$190.2M before the cut	$29.99	88k reviews Very Positive	StrategyHistorical
Total War: THREE KINGDOMS 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.4M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $29.6M–$79.7M after Steam's cut $53.9M–$122.6M before the cut	$39.99	94k reviews Very Positive	StrategyHistorical