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How many copies did Simply Chess sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 178k–289k
from 4k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Simply Chess and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Simply Chess's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 81k–1.9M
best case 3.4M (Dota Underlords)
Games like Simply Chess

A typical game among these

≈ 81k–1.9M copies

≈ $940k–$19.1M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Dota Underlords at ≈ 2.6M–4.3M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 566 reviews in their first month; the range was 196 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Board Game (5 of 8) and Chess (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Auto Battler + Tactical.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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