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How many copies did Pure Chess Grandmaster Edition sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 12k–19k
$51k–$138k after Steam's cut $93k–$212k before Steam's cut
from 280 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Pure Chess Grandmaster Edition and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Pure Chess Grandmaster Edition's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 29k–77k
best case 4.8M (Tabletop Simulator)
Games like Pure Chess Grandmaster Edition

A typical game among these

≈ 29k–77k copies

≈ $17k–$201k after Steam's cut

from ~917 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Chess (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Tabletop Simulator at ≈ 3.6M–5.9M copies, ≈ $20.0M–$53.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Chess (4 of 8) and Simulation (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tabletop + Board Game, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Sandbox + Trading Card Game + Card Game; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2020. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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