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How many copies did KNIGHTS sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 34k–56k
$9k–$25k after Steam's cut $17k–$39k before Steam's cut
from 827 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid KNIGHTS and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including KNIGHTS's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 798–927
best case 109k (Just Go)
Games like KNIGHTS

A typical game among these

≈ 798–927 copies

≈ $613–$3k after Steam's cut

from ~27 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Just Go at ≈ 83k–135k copies, ≈ $228k–$612k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 13 reviews in their first month; the range was 6 to 653.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Board Game (5 of 8) and Puzzle (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Board Game, priced around $12. The breakout hits carry Strategy + Multiplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Just Go
2022
Est. copies
≈ 83k–135k
126x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$228k–$612k after Steam's cut $414k–$941k before Steam's cut
$9.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
CasualSimulation
Dream Sketcher
2023
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
19x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$41k–$109k after Steam's cut $74k–$168k before Steam's cut
$11.99
496 reviews
Mixed
RPGChoices Matter
Switchball HD
2021
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
7.3x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$17k–$46k after Steam's cut $31k–$71k before Steam's cut
$12.99
194 reviews
Very Positive
ArcadePhysics
Pure Chess Grandmaster Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 12k–19k
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$51k–$138k after Steam's cut $93k–$212k before Steam's cut
$15.99
280 reviews
Mostly Positive
ChessStrategy
Jessie 'Boom' James - a jigsaw chess tale
2021
Est. copies
≈ 570–927
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$312–$839 after Steam's cut $567–$1k before Steam's cut
$1.99
23 reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualWestern
ByteBurst: Hacking Simulator
2024
Est. copies
≈ 744–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$407–$1k after Steam's cut $740–$2k before Steam's cut
$1.99
30 reviews
Mostly Positive
SimulationStrategy
Shinobi's Way - a jigsaw chess tale
2021
Est. copies
≈ 620–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$339–$913 after Steam's cut $617–$1k before Steam's cut
$1.99
25 reviews
Positive
CasualNinja
Masters of Puzzle
2020
Est. copies
≈ 694–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$20k before Steam's cut
$24.99
28 reviews
Positive

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