How much revenue did Shinobi's Way - a jigsaw chess tale make?

$339–$913 after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Shinobi's Way - a jigsaw chess tale sell?

Q: How many copies did Shinobi's Way - a jigsaw chess tale sell?

620 to 1k copies, based on its 25 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 620–1k; $339–$913 after Steam's cut $617–$1k before Steam's cut; from 25 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Shinobi's Way - a jigsaw chess tale and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Shinobi's Way - a jigsaw chess tale's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–4k

best case 18k (3dSen PC)

Games like Shinobi's Way - a jigsaw chess tale

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–4k copies

≈ $1k–$6k after Steam's cut

from ~63 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: 3dSen PC at ≈ 14k–23k copies, ≈ $57k–$154k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 18 reviews in their first month; the range was 9 to 471.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Puzzle (6 of 8) and Board Game (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Platformer + Remake, priced around $15.
When they shipped: Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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