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How many copies did Samurai Chess sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 992–2k
$543–$1k after Steam's cut $987–$2k before Steam's cut
from 40 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Samurai Chess and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Samurai Chess's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 293k–448k
best case 449k (Fate Seeker II)
Games like Samurai Chess

A typical game among these

≈ 293k–448k copies

≈ $2.6M–$3.9M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Fate Seeker II at ≈ 342k–556k copies, ≈ $2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 253 to 8k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Martial Arts (5 of 8) and Puzzle (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Martial Arts + Action RPG, priced around $23.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Ninja Stealth
2016
Est. copies
≈ 78k–127k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$107k–$288k after Steam's cut $195k–$443k before Steam's cut
$4.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
StealthStrategy
河洛群俠傳 (Ho Tu Lo Shu : The Books of Dragon)
2018
Est. copies
≈ 338k–548k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.9M before Steam's cut
$17.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
RPGMartial Arts
Fate Seeker
2018
Est. copies
≈ 408k–663k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.4M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.8M before Steam's cut
$21.09
13k reviews
Very Positive
RPGMartial Arts
Fate Seeker II
2021
Est. copies
≈ 342k–556k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut
$22.60
14k reviews
Very Positive
RPGMartial Arts
The Wind Road
2020
Est. copies
≈ 169k–275k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
7k reviews
Mixed
RPGAction
5D Chess With Multiverse Time Travel
2020
Est. copies
≈ 223k–362k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$735k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$11.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ChessTime Travel
King of the Bridge
2024
Est. copies
≈ 44k–71k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$36k–$97k after Steam's cut $66k–$150k before Steam's cut
$2.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleStrategy
古龙风云录
2024
Est. copies
≈ 225k–365k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
9k reviews
Mixed

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.