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How many copies did Ninja Stealth sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 78k–127k
$107k–$288k after Steam's cut $195k–$443k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ninja Stealth and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ninja Stealth's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 208k–626k
best case 2.1M (Shadow Tactics: Blades of the Shogun)
Games like Ninja Stealth

A typical game among these

≈ 208k–626k copies

≈ $755k–$7.6M after Steam's cut

from ~13k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Shadow Tactics: Blades of the Shogun at ≈ 1.6M–2.6M copies, ≈ $17.6M–$47.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 47 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Stealth (8 of 8) and Ninja (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Stealth + Tactical, priced around $40.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2021. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Ninja Stealth 2
2017
Est. copies
≈ 25k–40k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$34k–$92k after Steam's cut $62k–$141k before Steam's cut
$4.99
723 reviews
Mixed
StealthStrategy
Mark of the Ninja
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 394k–640k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
16k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Shadow Tactics: Aiko's Choice
2021
Est. copies
≈ 120k–196k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$662k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Real Time TacticsStrategy
Shadow Tactics: Blades of the Shogun
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$17.6M–$47.3M after Steam's cut $32.0M–$72.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
38k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StealthStrategy
Perfect Heist 2
2021
Est. copies
≈ 118k–192k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$325k–$874k after Steam's cut $591k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
ActionStealth
Desperados III
2020
Est. copies
≈ 413k–671k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.5M–$12.2M after Steam's cut $8.3M–$18.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
17k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Real Time TacticsStrategy
Sword With Sauce
2018
Est. copies
≈ 197k–319k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$270k–$725k after Steam's cut $490k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$4.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
ActionParkour
Aragami
2016
Est. copies
≈ 541k–878k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$8.0M after Steam's cut $5.4M–$12.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
StealthNinja

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