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How many copies did Fate Seeker II sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 342k–556k
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut
from 14k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Fate Seeker II and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fate Seeker II's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 587k–989k
best case 8.8M (It Takes Two)
Games like Fate Seeker II

A typical game among these

≈ 587k–989k copies

≈ $5.6M–$7.1M after Steam's cut

from ~18k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Puzzle (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: It Takes Two at ≈ 6.7M–10.9M copies, ≈ $73.7M–$198.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 14k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 18k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (4 of 8) and Action RPG (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle, priced around $50. The breakout hits carry Puzzle + Co-op + Multiplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Fate Seeker
2018
Est. copies
≈ 408k–663k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.4M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.8M before Steam's cut
$21.09
13k reviews
Very Positive
RPGMartial Arts
CrossCode
2018
Est. copies
≈ 562k–914k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.3M after Steam's cut $5.6M–$12.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
Action RPGPixel Graphics
Darksiders™
2010
Est. copies
≈ 818k–1.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
13k reviews
Very Positive
ActionAdventure
Darksiders II Deathinitive Edition
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$8.4M–$22.5M after Steam's cut $15.2M–$34.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
21k reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionHack and Slash
It Takes Two
2021
Est. copies
≈ 6.7M–10.9M
15x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$73.7M–$198.3M after Steam's cut $134.1M–$305.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
270k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Co-opMultiplayer
Atomic Heart
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$22.9M–$61.6M after Steam's cut $41.7M–$94.8M before Steam's cut
$59.99
56k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentFPS
TUNIC
2022
Est. copies
≈ 464k–753k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.8M–$10.3M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationPuzzle
Shadows of Doubt
2024
Est. copies
≈ 442k–719k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$8.2M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.6M before Steam's cut
$24.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
DetectiveImmersive Sim

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