How much revenue did Shadows of Doubt make?

$3.0M–$8.2M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Shadows of Doubt sell?

Q: How many copies did Shadows of Doubt sell?

442k to 719k copies, based on its 18k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 442k–719k; $3.0M–$8.2M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.6M before Steam's cut; from 18k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Shadows of Doubt and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Shadows of Doubt's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 21k–39k

best case 609k (Flashing Lights - Police, Firefighting, Emergency Services (EMS) Simulator)

Games like Shadows of Doubt

A typical game among these

≈ 21k–39k copies

≈ $102k–$197k after Steam's cut

from ~890 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Flashing Lights - Police, Firefighting, Emergency Services (EMS) Simulator at ≈ 464k–755k copies, ≈ $3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 752 reviews in their first month; the range was 73 to 12k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Simulation (5 of 8) and Sandbox (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Crime + Open World, priced around $27. The breakout hits carry Open World + Crime + Top-Down Shooter; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: 4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The Precinct 2025	Est. copies ≈ 232k–377k 11x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.9M–$5.2M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$7.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	9k reviews Very Positive	DetectiveCrime
Grey Hack 2017	Est. copies ≈ 65k–105k 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $355k–$955k after Steam's cut $646k–$1.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Very Positive	HackingSimulation
Take me, Vitaly 2024	Est. copies ≈ 31k–51k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $51k–$138k after Steam's cut $93k–$212k before Steam's cut	$5.99	1k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HorrorDark Humor
Conrad Stevenson's Paranormal P.I. 2023	Est. copies ≈ 24k–40k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $67k–$181k after Steam's cut $122k–$278k before Steam's cut	$9.99	987 reviews Very Positive	Psychological HorrorSupernatural
Airport X-Ray Simulator 2024	Est. copies ≈ 7k–11k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $25k–$67k after Steam's cut $45k–$103k before Steam's cut	$12.99	281 reviews Very Positive	Early AccessSimulation
Biker Garage: Mechanic Simulator 2019	Est. copies ≈ 15k–24k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $103k–$276k after Steam's cut $186k–$424k before Steam's cut	$24.99	518 reviews Mixed	RacingMotorbike
Anonymous Hacker Simulator 2024	Est. copies ≈ 20k–32k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $108k–$290k after Steam's cut $196k–$447k before Steam's cut	$19.99	792 reviews Very Positive	SimulationHacking
Flashing Lights - Police, Firefighting, Emergency Services (EMS) Simulator 2023	Est. copies ≈ 464k–755k 21x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before Steam's cut	$24.99	19k reviews Mostly Positive	AdventureDriving