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How many copies did Biker Garage: Mechanic Simulator sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 15k–24k
$103k–$276k after Steam's cut $186k–$424k before Steam's cut
from 518 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Biker Garage: Mechanic Simulator and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Biker Garage: Mechanic Simulator's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 145k–258k
best case 404k (RIDE 4)
Games like Biker Garage: Mechanic Simulator

A typical game among these

≈ 145k–258k copies

≈ $1.1M–$2.6M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: RIDE 4 at ≈ 308k–500k copies, ≈ $3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 633 reviews in their first month; the range was 572 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Racing (8 of 8) and Motorbike (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Racing + Motorbike, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

MX vs. ATV Reflex
2010
Est. copies
≈ 256k–416k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
RacingMotocross
Trials Evolution: Gold Edition
2013
Est. copies
≈ 154k–251k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$848k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
RacingAction
Ride 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 131k–212k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$897k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
RacingSimulation
RIDE 4
2020
Est. copies
≈ 308k–500k
3.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut $6.2M–$14.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
RacingMotorbike
RIDE 3
2018
Est. copies
≈ 176k–287k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$6.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
RacingSimulation
RIDE
2015
Est. copies
≈ 121k–197k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$666k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
RacingSimulation
MotoGP™20
2020
Est. copies
≈ 79k–128k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$434k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $789k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
RacingSports
MotoGP™21
2021
Est. copies
≈ 49k–79k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$334k–$897k after Steam's cut $606k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
RacingSimulation

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.