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How many copies did Trials Evolution: Gold Edition sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 154k–251k
$848k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Trials Evolution: Gold Edition and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Trials Evolution: Gold Edition's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 452k–1.8M
best case 78.3M (Euro Truck Simulator 2)
Games like Trials Evolution: Gold Edition

A typical game among these

≈ 452k–1.8M copies

≈ $2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut

from ~19k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Racing (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Euro Truck Simulator 2 at ≈ 59.7M–97.0M copies, ≈ $328.0M–$881.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Racing (4 of 8) and Automobile Sim (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Driving + Transportation, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Transportation + Simulation + Open World; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2008 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

TrackMania Nations Forever
2008
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
24k reviews
Very Positive
RacingFree to Play
Race The Sun
2013
Est. copies
≈ 402k–653k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Procedural GenerationRunner
Biped
2020
Est. copies
≈ 287k–466k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Character CustomizationEmotional
Euro Truck Simulator 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 59.7M–97.0M
51x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$328.0M–$881.9M after Steam's cut $596.4M–$1356.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
944k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DrivingTransportation
SpeedRunners
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.4M–$17.2M after Steam's cut $11.6M–$26.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerRacing
DDNet
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
47k reviews
Very Positive
Online Co-OpFree to Play
Distance
2018
Est. copies
≈ 231k–375k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.6M before Steam's cut
$24.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
RacingGreat Soundtrack
Clustertruck
2016
Est. copies
≈ 773k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
ParkourAutomobile Sim

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