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How many copies did Clustertruck sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 773k–1.3M
$3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before Steam's cut
from 19k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Clustertruck and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Clustertruck's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–4k
best case 562k (Sleeping Dogs)
Games like Clustertruck

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–4k copies

≈ $6k–$11k after Steam's cut

from ~88 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Driving (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Sleeping Dogs at ≈ 428k–696k copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 47 reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 213.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Driving (4 of 8) and Parkour (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Third Person, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Third Person + Singleplayer + Open World; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2019 to 2025, and 3 of the 7 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.