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How many copies did Fate Seeker sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 408k–663k
$2.4M–$6.4M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.8M before Steam's cut
from 13k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Fate Seeker and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fate Seeker's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 777k–1.3M
best case 2.0M (Gujian3(古剑奇谭三))
Games like Fate Seeker

A typical game among these

≈ 777k–1.3M copies

≈ $11.1M–$21.6M after Steam's cut

from ~30k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Gujian3(古剑奇谭三) at ≈ 1.5M–2.4M copies, ≈ $12.3M–$33.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 15k reviews in their first month; the range was 8k to 21k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action RPG (5 of 8) and Martial Arts (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Martial Arts, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

DYNASTY WARRIORS: ORIGINS
2025
Est. copies
≈ 751k–1.2M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$14.5M–$38.9M after Steam's cut $26.3M–$59.8M before Steam's cut
$69.99
30k reviews
Very Positive
Hack and SlashSpectacle fighter
嗜血印 Bloody Spell
2022
Est. copies
≈ 976k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.7M–$18.0M after Steam's cut $12.2M–$27.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
NuditySexual Content
Wo Long: Fallen Dynasty
2023
Est. copies
≈ 730k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.0M–$21.6M after Steam's cut $14.6M–$33.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
29k reviews
Mixed
ActionSouls-like
Wandering Sword
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.8M–$21.0M after Steam's cut $14.2M–$32.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
46k reviews
Very Positive
RPGMartial Arts
Gujian3(古剑奇谭三)
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.3M–$33.0M after Steam's cut $22.3M–$50.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
49k reviews
Very Positive
Sands of Salzaar
2021
Est. copies
≈ 571k–929k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
23k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldRPG
Like a Dragon: Infinite Wealth
2024
Est. copies
≈ 599k–973k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$11.5M–$31.0M after Steam's cut $20.9M–$47.7M before Steam's cut
$69.99
24k reviews
Very Positive
ActionJRPG
Sword and Fairy 7
2021
Est. copies
≈ 477k–775k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.9M–$10.6M after Steam's cut $7.2M–$16.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
19k reviews
Mostly Positive
RPGSingleplayer

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