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How many copies did Paths of Fight: Samurai sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 446–725
$244–$657 after Steam's cut $444–$1k before Steam's cut
from 18 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Paths of Fight: Samurai and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Paths of Fight: Samurai's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 438k–649k
best case 896k (Into the Breach)
Games like Paths of Fight: Samurai

A typical game among these

≈ 438k–649k copies

≈ $2.8M–$4.4M after Steam's cut

from ~15k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Story Rich (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Into the Breach at ≈ 682k–1.1M copies, ≈ $2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 5k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (4 of 8) and Turn-Based (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Strategy + Turn-Based Tactics, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Thronebreaker: The Witcher Tales
2018
Est. copies
≈ 528k–859k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
RPGAdventure
Idle Champions of the Forgotten Realms
2020
Est. copies
≈ 374k–607k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
15k reviews
Mostly Positive
Dungeons & DragonsFree to Play
ATOM RPG: Post-apocalyptic indie game
2018
Est. copies
≈ 321k–522k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
CRPGExploration
Into the Breach
2018
Est. copies
≈ 682k–1.1M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
ISLANDERS
2019
Est. copies
≈ 483k–786k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$663k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut
$4.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
RelaxingCity Builder
Tactical Breach Wizards
2024
Est. copies
≈ 303k–492k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
12k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
河洛群俠傳 (Ho Tu Lo Shu : The Books of Dragon)
2018
Est. copies
≈ 338k–548k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.9M before Steam's cut
$17.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
RPGMartial Arts
Yes, Your Grace
2020
Est. copies
≈ 353k–574k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.2M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$8.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterIndie

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