How much revenue did Switchball HD make?

$17k–$46k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Switchball HD sell?

Q: How many copies did Switchball HD sell?

5k to 8k copies, based on its 194 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 5k–8k; $17k–$46k after Steam's cut $31k–$71k before Steam's cut; from 194 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Switchball HD and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Switchball HD's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 867k–1.4M

best case 27.0M (BeamNG.drive)

Games like Switchball HD

A typical game among these

≈ 867k–1.4M copies

≈ $5.7M–$6.6M after Steam's cut

from ~18k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Physics (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: BeamNG.drive at ≈ 20.5M–33.4M copies, ≈ $141.2M–$379.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Physics (4 of 8) and Racing (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Psychological Horror + Battle Royale, priced around $17. The breakout hits carry Sandbox; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2006 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Crab Game 2021	Est. copies ≈ 3.7M–6.1M 8.2x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	151k reviews Very Positive	Psychological HorrorMultiplayer
FlatOut 2 2006	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.3M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.9M–$10.4M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$16.0M before Steam's cut	$9.99	22k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RacingCombat Racing
CarX Drift Racing Online 2017	Est. copies ≈ 3.1M–5.0M 4.9x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $14.4M–$38.6M after Steam's cut $26.1M–$59.4M before Steam's cut	$16.99	89k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RacingPhysics
Stumble Guys 2021	Est. copies ≈ 3.4M–5.6M 7.5x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	139k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayBattle Royale
BeamNG.drive 2015	Est. copies ≈ 20.5M–33.4M 23x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $141.2M–$379.6M after Steam's cut $256.7M–$584.0M before Steam's cut	$24.99	421k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SimulationDriving
Goat Simulator 2014	Est. copies ≈ 3.9M–6.4M 3.8x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $10.8M–$29.1M after Steam's cut $19.7M–$44.7M before Steam's cut	$9.99	70k reviews Very Positive	SimulationFunny
Project CARS 2 2017	Est. copies ≈ 634k–1.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	18k reviews Very Positive	RacingDriving
Tricky Towers 2016	Est. copies ≈ 687k–1.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	17k reviews Very Positive	Party Game Puzzle