How much revenue did Goat Simulator make?

$10.8M–$29.1M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Goat Simulator sell?

Q: How many copies did Goat Simulator sell?

3.9M to 6.4M copies, based on its 70k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 3.9M–6.4M; $10.8M–$29.1M after Steam's cut $19.7M–$44.7M before Steam's cut; from 70k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Goat Simulator and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Goat Simulator's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.0M–10.1M

best case 12.2M (VRChat)

Games like Goat Simulator

A typical game among these

≈ 3.0M–10.1M copies

≈ $12.6M–$71.3M after Steam's cut

from ~95k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: VRChat at ≈ 9.3M–15.1M copies.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Simulation (5 of 8) and Sandbox (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with VR + Anime.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2008 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Bully: Scholarship Edition 2008	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $11.0M–$29.6M after Steam's cut $20.0M–$45.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	42k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction
VRChat 2017	Est. copies ≈ 9.3M–15.1M 2.8x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	269k reviews Mostly Positive	VRFree to Play
Kerbal Space Program 2015	Est. copies ≈ 7.2M–11.7M 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $79.0M–$212.3M after Steam's cut $143.6M–$326.6M before Steam's cut	$39.99	147k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SpaceSimulation
Human Fall Flat 2016	Est. copies ≈ 9.5M–15.4M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $52.0M–$139.7M after Steam's cut $94.5M–$214.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	227k reviews Very Positive	Co-opFunny
My Summer Car 2025	Est. copies ≈ 2.9M–4.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.1M–$32.4M after Steam's cut $21.9M–$49.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	118k reviews Very Positive	Automobile SimSimulation
SPORE™ 2008	Est. copies ≈ 4.6M–7.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $25.3M–$68.0M after Steam's cut $46.0M–$104.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	73k reviews Very Positive	God GameOpen World
Hand Simulator 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.2M before Steam's cut	$2.99	36k reviews Very Positive	SimulationFunny
House Party 2022	Est. copies ≈ 383k–623k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.6M–$7.1M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$10.9M before Steam's cut	$24.99	15k reviews Very Positive	NudityMature