How much revenue did Hand Simulator make?

$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Hand Simulator sell?

Q: How many copies did Hand Simulator sell?

1.2M to 2.0M copies, based on its 36k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1.2M–2.0M; $1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.2M before Steam's cut; from 36k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hand Simulator and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hand Simulator's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.6M–1.9M

best case 12.2M (VRChat)

Games like Hand Simulator

A typical game among these

≈ 1.6M–1.9M copies

≈ $14.5M–$15.1M after Steam's cut

from ~49k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: VRChat at ≈ 9.3M–15.1M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 18k reviews in their first month; the range was 6k to 73k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Simulation (6 of 8) and VR (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Fishing + Simulation, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry Free to Play + Realistic + Massively Multiplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2026, and 1 of the 7 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Fishing Planet 2017	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.3M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	78k reviews Very Positive	FishingFree to Play
VRChat 2017	Est. copies ≈ 9.3M–15.1M 5.5x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	269k reviews Mostly Positive	VRFree to Play
Rec Room 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2.1M–3.4M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	84k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayVR
SteamVR unreleased	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.5M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	87k reviews Very Positive	VRSoftware
F1® 2020 2020	Est. copies ≈ 990k–1.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	40k reviews Very Positive	RacingSimulation
Microsoft Flight Simulator (2020) 40th Anniversary Edition 2026	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–2.9M 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $29.9M–$80.5M after Steam's cut $54.4M–$123.8M before Steam's cut	$59.99	73k reviews Mostly Positive	SimulationFlight
PC Building Simulator 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.4M–$22.5M after Steam's cut $15.2M–$34.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	53k reviews Very Positive	SimulationEducation
DiRT Rally 2.0 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	49k reviews Very Positive	RacingAutomobile Sim