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How many copies did Jessie 'Boom' James - a jigsaw chess tale sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 570–927
$312–$839 after Steam's cut $567–$1k before Steam's cut
from 23 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Jessie 'Boom' James - a jigsaw chess tale and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Jessie 'Boom' James - a jigsaw chess tale's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–7k
best case 47k (Depraved)
Games like Jessie 'Boom' James - a jigsaw chess tale

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–7k copies

≈ $13k–$36k after Steam's cut

from ~110 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Shooter (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Depraved at ≈ 36k–59k copies, ≈ $199k–$534k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 41 reviews in their first month; the range was 5 to 107.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Shooter (3 of 8) and Western (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Management, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Management + City Builder + Colony Sim; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Depraved
2019
Est. copies
≈ 36k–59k
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$199k–$534k after Steam's cut $361k–$821k before Steam's cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Mixed
El Hijo - A Wild West Tale
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6k–9k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$32k–$85k after Steam's cut $58k–$131k before Steam's cut
$19.99
232 reviews
Very Positive
CasualExploration
RevolVR 3
2021
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
152 reviews
Mostly Positive
Co-opMultiplayer
Moonshine Maniacs - A Wild West Saga
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
67 reviews
Mixed
Arena ShooterFPS
Dick Wilde
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$8k–$22k after Steam's cut $15k–$33k before Steam's cut
$14.99
57 reviews
Very Positive
ActionCasual
Gold Rush! Anniversary
2014
Est. copies
≈ 11k–18k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$15k–$42k after Steam's cut $28k–$64k before Steam's cut
$4.99
201 reviews
Mixed
AdventureIndie
Wild West Saga: Idle Tycoon Clicker
2018
Est. copies
≈ 24k–39k
7.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
790 reviews
Mixed
ClickerIdler
Dead Man's Rest
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $8k–$17k before Steam's cut
$11.99
51 reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelLGBTQ+

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