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How many copies did Egyptian Senet sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 18k–29k
$50k–$133k after Steam's cut $90k–$205k before Steam's cut
from 370 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Egyptian Senet and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Egyptian Senet's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 77k–161k
best case 2.4M (UNO)
Games like Egyptian Senet

A typical game among these

≈ 77k–161k copies

≈ $382k–$1.0M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: UNO at ≈ 1.9M–3.0M copies, ≈ $5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 571 reviews in their first month; the range was 325 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Tabletop (7 of 8) and Board Game (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tabletop, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Real Time Tactics + War + America; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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Board GameStrategy
Through the Ages
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Ultimate General: Civil War
2017
Est. copies
≈ 296k–481k
3.2x vs typical
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WargameReal Time Tactics
UNO
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
20x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut
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54k reviews
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Very Positive
StrategyGod Game

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