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How many copies did Axis & Allies 1942 Online sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 127k–206k
$698k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
from 5k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Axis & Allies 1942 Online and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Axis & Allies 1942 Online's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 169k–276k
best case 4.8M (Tabletop Simulator)
Games like Axis & Allies 1942 Online

A typical game among these

≈ 169k–276k copies

≈ $843k–$2.8M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Tabletop Simulator at ≈ 3.6M–5.9M copies, ≈ $20.0M–$53.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (5 of 8) and Wargame (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Card Game + Trading Card Game, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Trading Card Game + Card Game + Board Game; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2020. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy 200k–500k
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Root
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Free to PlayCard Game
Tabletop Simulator
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≈ 3.6M–5.9M
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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Supremacy: Call of War 1942
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