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How many copies did Chessformer sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 8k–13k
$11k–$30k after Steam's cut $20k–$45k before Steam's cut
from 323 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Chessformer and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Chessformer's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7k–17k
best case 293k (5D Chess With Multiverse Time Travel)
Games like Chessformer

A typical game among these

≈ 7k–17k copies

≈ $14k–$54k after Steam's cut

from ~231 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: 5D Chess With Multiverse Time Travel at ≈ 223k–362k copies, ≈ $735k–$2.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 78 reviews in their first month; the range was 13 to 835.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Chess (6 of 8) and Puzzle (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Chess + Time Travel, priced around $12. The breakout hits carry Time Manipulation + Time Travel + Board Game; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Dark Chess
2023
Est. copies
≈ 5k–9k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$19k–$51k after Steam's cut $34k–$78k before Steam's cut
$12.99
213 reviews
Mostly Positive
ChessStrategy
Unlock The King
2019
Est. copies
≈ 12k–19k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut
$0.99
404 reviews
Very Positive
FuturisticSokoban
Sudoku Zenkai / 数独全卡
2018
Est. copies
≈ 6k–11k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$7k–$19k after Steam's cut $13k–$29k before Steam's cut
$3.99
213 reviews
Very Positive
LogicSolitaire
3D Math - Ultra
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6k–9k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$8k–$21k after Steam's cut $14k–$33k before Steam's cut
$4.99
231 reviews
Very Positive
CasualIndie
GLADIABOTS - AI Combat Arena
2019
Est. copies
≈ 26k–43k
4.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$109k–$293k after Steam's cut $198k–$450k before Steam's cut
$14.99
917 reviews
Very Positive
StrategyArtificial Intelligence
The Ouroboros King
2023
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$39k–$106k after Steam's cut $72k–$163k before Steam's cut
$9.99
578 reviews
Mostly Positive
Chessplosion
2021
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$13k–$34k after Steam's cut $23k–$52k before Steam's cut
$11.99
154 reviews
Very Positive
ArcadePixel Graphics
5D Chess With Multiverse Time Travel
2020
Est. copies
≈ 223k–362k
39x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$735k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$11.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ChessTime Travel

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