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How many copies did Chessplosion sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4k–6k
$13k–$34k after Steam's cut $23k–$52k before Steam's cut
from 154 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Chessplosion and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Chessplosion's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 175k–243k
best case 10.7M (Hotline Miami)
Games like Chessplosion

A typical game among these

≈ 175k–243k copies

≈ $637k–$1.3M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Hotline Miami at ≈ 8.1M–13.2M copies, ≈ $22.3M–$60.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 421 to 24k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (5 of 8) and Rogue-lite (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Rogue-lite, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Great Soundtrack + Violent + Gore; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy 200k–500k
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Shotgun King: The Final Checkmate
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ChessTurn-Based Strategy
Rogue: Genesia
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≈ 213k–346k
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Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
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≈ 145k–235k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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CasualArcade
Halls of Torment
2024
Est. copies
≈ 793k–1.3M
5.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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$1.5M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$6.0M before Steam's cut
$6.66
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Action RoguelikeRogue-lite
Hotline Miami
2012
Est. copies
≈ 8.1M–13.2M
22x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$22.3M–$60.0M after Steam's cut $40.6M–$92.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
128k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Great SoundtrackViolent
Boneraiser Minions
2023
Est. copies
≈ 133k–216k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$183k–$491k after Steam's cut $332k–$756k before Steam's cut
$4.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Hotline Miami 2: Wrong Number
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.9M–6.4M
14x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$16.2M–$43.5M after Steam's cut $29.4M–$66.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
80k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackGore

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.