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How many copies did VSCS-II sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 570–927
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
from 23 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid VSCS-II and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including VSCS-II's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 258k–813k
best case 1.3M (Unheard - Voices of Crime)
Games like VSCS-II

A typical game among these

≈ 258k–813k copies

≈ $415k–$1.9M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Unheard - Voices of Crime at ≈ 981k–1.6M copies, ≈ $1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 134 reviews in their first month; the range was 11 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (8 of 8) and Story Rich (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Detective + Puzzle, priced around $7.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2022. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Test: Hypothesis Rising
2020
Est. copies
≈ 147k–239k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$80k–$216k after Steam's cut $146k–$332k before Steam's cut
$1.99
6k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationMultiple Endings
Unheard - Voices of Crime
2019
Est. copies
≈ 981k–1.6M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.4M–$7.8M before Steam's cut
$6.99
34k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectivePuzzle
Death and Taxes
2020
Est. copies
≈ 213k–346k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$760k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before Steam's cut
$12.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterStory Rich
The Test
2020
Est. copies
≈ 499k–810k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$273k–$734k after Steam's cut $496k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$1.99
20k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Choose Your Own AdventureSimulation
Survivor Dieland
2021
Est. copies
≈ 6k–9k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut
$1.99
234 reviews
Very Positive
SimulationMultiple Endings
The Horrorscope: Fatal Awakening
2020
Est. copies
≈ 10k–17k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$15k after Steam's cut $10k–$23k before Steam's cut
$1.99
417 reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterMultiple Endings
청춘향전 Cheongchunhyang Jeon
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
$4.99
64 reviews
Very Positive
SimulationCinematic
Will Die Alone
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
$4.99
67 reviews
Mostly Positive
Text-BasedSimulation

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