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How big is Joyspring?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 4k–6k
from 155 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Joyspring and predicted how it would do from its 7 similar games. Every figure here, including Joyspring's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 15k–2.4M
best case 5.9M (Celeste)
Games like Joyspring

A typical game among these

≈ 15k–2.4M copies

≈ $2k–$18.8M after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 7 similar games are hits.

Best case: Celeste at ≈ 4.5M–7.4M copies, ≈ $24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 68 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 749.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 2D Platformer (6 of 7) and Precision Platformer (6 of 7).
The winners
Winners here lead with Precision Platformer + Platformer, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Draw
2023
Est. copies
≈ 21k–34k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
849 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGAction RPG
DDNet
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
4.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
47k reviews
Very Positive
Online Co-OpFree to Play
Celeste
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.5M–7.4M
14x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut $45.3M–$103.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
149k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Super Meat Boy
2010
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.0M
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.2M–$27.5M after Steam's cut $18.6M–$42.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
VVVVVV
2010
Est. copies
≈ 667k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$916k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.8M before Steam's cut
$4.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsPrecision Platformer
MADHACK
2021
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$81–$219 after Steam's cut $148–$337 before Steam's cut
$1.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
Precision Platformer2D Platformer
Mr.Bottle and his dream
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$857–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$2.99
42 reviews
Positive
PhysicsDynamic Narration

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