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How many copies did Mr.Bottle and his dream sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$857–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
from 42 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mr.Bottle and his dream and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mr.Bottle and his dream's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 130k–186k
best case 186k (A Difficult Game About Climbing)
Games like Mr.Bottle and his dream

A typical game among these

≈ 130k–186k copies

≈ $716k–$1.1M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: A Difficult Game About Climbing at ≈ 141k–230k copies, ≈ $388k–$1.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 423 reviews in their first month; the range was 14 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Precision Platformer (7 of 8) and Physics (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Psychological Horror + Platformer, priced around $10.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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DifficultPhysics
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