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How many copies did Heavenly Bodies sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 112k–182k
$772k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
from 5k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Heavenly Bodies and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Heavenly Bodies's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 429k–873k
best case 15.2M (Fall Guys)
Games like Heavenly Bodies

A typical game among these

≈ 429k–873k copies

≈ $2.3M–$4.2M after Steam's cut

from ~12k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Fall Guys at ≈ 11.6M–18.9M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Physics (6 of 8) and Sandbox (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Party Game + Battle Royale. The breakout hits carry Battle Royale + Massively Multiplayer + Cute; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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40x vs typical
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ComedyPhysics

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.