How much revenue did Overgrowth make?

$1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Overgrowth sell?

Q: How many copies did Overgrowth sell?

313k to 509k copies, based on its 9k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 313k–509k; $1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.1M before Steam's cut; from 9k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Overgrowth and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Overgrowth's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.4M–8.1M

best case 9.9M (NARAKA: BLADEPOINT)

Games like Overgrowth

A typical game among these

≈ 3.4M–8.1M copies

≈ $66.3M–$99.1M after Steam's cut

from ~86k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Martial Arts (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: NARAKA: BLADEPOINT at ≈ 7.5M–12.2M copies.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Martial Arts (4 of 8) and Open World (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Battle Royale + Martial Arts.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2010 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Human Fall Flat 2016	Est. copies ≈ 9.5M–15.4M 2.6x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $52.0M–$139.7M after Steam's cut $94.5M–$214.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	227k reviews Very Positive	Co-opFunny
Toribash 2014	Est. copies ≈ 943k–1.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	17k reviews Very Positive	Free to Play3D Fighter
Sleeping Dogs: Definitive Edition 2014	Est. copies ≈ 4.5M–7.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $24.6M–$66.2M after Steam's cut $44.7M–$101.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	80k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction
Sleeping Dogs unreleased	Est. copies ≈ 428k–696k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	17k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction
Assassin's Creed® Unity 2014	Est. copies ≈ 4.8M–7.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $39.7M–$106.8M after Steam's cut $72.2M–$164.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	86k reviews Mostly Positive	Open WorldParkour
Watch_Dogs® 2 2016	Est. copies ≈ 4.3M–7.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $59.1M–$158.9M after Steam's cut $107.5M–$244.4M before Steam's cut	$49.99	103k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldHacking
Lugaru HD 2010	Est. copies ≈ 38k–62k too small to compare SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $105k–$281k after Steam's cut $190k–$433k before Steam's cut	$9.99	603 reviews Mostly Positive	Action3D Fighter
NARAKA: BLADEPOINT 2021	Est. copies ≈ 7.5M–12.2M 3.5x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	303k reviews Mostly Positive	Battle RoyaleMultiplayer